Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
