Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.16%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 29.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.03%) and 1-2 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.95%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.