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FL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Apr 4, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
PD

Famalicao
2 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Silva (41'), Jaime (64')
Valenzuela (77'), Riccieli (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

de Brito Gonzaga (49'), Ferreira (79'), Costa (85'), Eustaquio (90+3'), Ibrahim (90+7')
Ibrahim (90+7')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
FamalicaoDrawPacos de Ferreira
38.09%28.55%33.36%
Both teams to score 45.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.6%60.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.46%80.54%
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35%30.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.11%66.89%
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29%33.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.64%70.36%
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 38.08%
    Pacos de Ferreira 33.36%
    Draw 28.54%
FamalicaoDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 12.21%
2-1 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 7.23%
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-0 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 1.68%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 38.08%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.33%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 11.23%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 6.11%
1-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 33.36%

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