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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 21, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
 
B

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 2
Belenenses

Coates (83'), Cabral (90+6' pen.)
Tomas (4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cassierra (13', 54')
Henrique (41'), Cardoso (81'), Silva (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.17%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.04%) and 3-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBelenenses
68.17%20.97%10.85%
Both teams to score 37.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18%55.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06%76.94%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46%15.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.53%44.47%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.15%55.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.62%88.38%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 68.16%
    Belenenses 10.85%
    Draw 20.97%
Sporting LisbonDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 16.15%
2-0 @ 15.04%
3-0 @ 9.33%
2-1 @ 8.76%
3-1 @ 5.44%
4-0 @ 4.35%
4-1 @ 2.53%
5-0 @ 1.62%
3-2 @ 1.58%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 68.16%
1-1 @ 9.41%
0-0 @ 8.68%
2-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.97%
0-1 @ 5.06%
1-2 @ 2.74%
0-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 10.85%

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