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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 20, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Mata Real
M

Pacos de Ferreira
3 - 0
Moreirense

Tanque (12' pen.), Singh (20'), Ferreira (44')
Tanque (18'), Carlos (48'), Fonseca (73'), Singh (76')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ferraresi (10')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (13.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawMoreirense
37.13%31.2%31.66%
Both teams to score 38.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.16%68.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.51%86.48%
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.3%35.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.53%72.47%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.41%39.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72%76.27%
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 37.12%
    Moreirense 31.66%
    Draw 31.19%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 14.55%
2-0 @ 7.5%
2-1 @ 6.95%
3-0 @ 2.58%
3-1 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 37.12%
0-0 @ 14.13%
1-1 @ 13.48%
2-2 @ 3.22%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 31.19%
0-1 @ 13.09%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 6.07%
1-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 31.66%

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