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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 9, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal
VD

Portimonense
3 - 0
Guimaraes

Possignolo (5'), Dener (64' pen.), Beto (67')
Willyan (56'), Seung-woo (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mumin (35'), Lameiras (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
40.2%29.33%30.46%
Both teams to score 43.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.46%63.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.15%82.85%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.04%30.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.74%67.26%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48%37.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7%74.29%
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 40.2%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 30.46%
    Draw 29.32%
PortimonenseDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 13.61%
2-0 @ 7.98%
2-1 @ 7.83%
3-0 @ 3.12%
3-1 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.2%
1-1 @ 13.35%
0-0 @ 11.61%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.32%
0-1 @ 11.38%
1-2 @ 6.55%
0-2 @ 5.58%
1-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 30.46%

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