SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 40.2% | 29.33% | 30.46% |
| Both teams to score 43.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.46% | 63.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.15% | 82.85% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% | 30.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.74% | 67.26% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.48% | 37.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.7% | 74.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 13.61% 2-0 @ 7.98% 2-1 @ 7.83% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.2% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.32% | 0-1 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.73% Total : 30.46% |
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