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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 17, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
T

Moreirense
2 - 3
Tondela

Vitoria (28'), Martins (43')
Vitoria (20'), Conte (41'), Simao (78'), Soares (90+1')
Vitoria (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Gonzalez (4', 10', 12')
Alves (59'), Pedro (61'), Bebeto (62'), Tavares (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (11.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
MoreirenseDrawTondela
36.59%29%34.41%
Both teams to score 44.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.14%61.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.37%81.63%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68%32.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17%68.83%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24%33.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58%70.42%
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 36.59%
    Tondela 34.41%
    Draw 29%
MoreirenseDrawTondela
1-0 @ 12.32%
2-1 @ 7.56%
2-0 @ 6.96%
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 36.59%
1-1 @ 13.38%
0-0 @ 10.91%
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 29%
0-1 @ 11.85%
1-2 @ 7.27%
0-2 @ 6.43%
1-3 @ 2.63%
0-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 34.41%

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