Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.35%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.27%) and 3-0 (11.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
