SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.35%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.27%) and 3-0 (11.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Boavista |
| 77.35% | 15.59% | 7.06% |
| Both teams to score 37.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.43% | 45.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.1% | 67.89% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.11% | 9.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.23% | 32.77% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 10.4% | 89.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Boavista |
| 2-0 @ 15.35% 1-0 @ 13.27% 3-0 @ 11.84% 2-1 @ 8.36% 4-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 6.45% 4-1 @ 3.73% 5-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.73% 6-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.59% Total : 77.34% | 1-1 @ 7.23% 0-0 @ 5.73% 2-2 @ 2.28% Other @ 0.35% Total : 15.59% | 0-1 @ 3.12% 1-2 @ 1.97% Other @ 1.97% Total : 7.06% |
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