Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 9.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.64%) and 3-0 (10.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.