Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 16.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.98%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
