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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 24, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
P

Gil Vicente
1 - 2
Porto

Lino (24')
Carvalho (66'), Leautey (81'), Bueno (87'), Navarro (87'), Cunha (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taremi (9'), Oliveira (89')
Mbemba (22'), Vieira (50'), Wendell (87'), Otavio (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.98%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawPorto
16.07%22.36%61.57%
Both teams to score 46.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.03%50.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.16%72.84%
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.39%44.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.38%80.62%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.92%16.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.54%45.46%
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 16.07%
    Porto 61.57%
    Draw 22.36%
Gil VicenteDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.79%
2-1 @ 4.27%
2-0 @ 2.34%
3-1 @ 1.15%
3-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 16.07%
1-1 @ 10.58%
0-0 @ 7.17%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 22.36%
0-1 @ 13.1%
0-2 @ 11.98%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-3 @ 7.3%
1-3 @ 5.89%
0-4 @ 3.34%
1-4 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-5 @ 1.22%
2-4 @ 1.09%
1-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 61.57%

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