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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Feb 9, 2021 at 5pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave
T

Rio Ave
2 - 1
Tondela

Mane (59'), Camacho (64')
Borevkovic (5'), Aderlan (39'), Pele (87'), Gelson (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Murillo (32')
Medioub (10'), Agra (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 22.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawTondela
50.74%27%22.26%
Both teams to score 43.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.76%60.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58%80.42%
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.05%23.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.83%58.17%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.11%42.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.8%79.2%
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 50.74%
    Tondela 22.26%
    Draw 26.99%
Rio AveDrawTondela
1-0 @ 14.68%
2-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 8.88%
3-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 50.74%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 3.76%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 8.7%
1-2 @ 5.26%
0-2 @ 3.68%
1-3 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.06%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 22.26%

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