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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Feb 5, 2021 at 9pm UK
Mata Real
T

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 1
Tondela

Tanque (2'), Pedro (85')
Uilton (59'), Rebocho (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pedro (66' pen.)
Grau (48')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.6%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 26.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawTondela
43.6%29.96%26.44%
Both teams to score 39.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.27%66.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.92%85.08%
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37%30.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.13%66.87%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.32%42.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98%79.02%
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 43.6%
    Tondela 26.44%
    Draw 29.95%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawTondela
1-0 @ 15.46%
2-0 @ 9.15%
2-1 @ 7.79%
3-0 @ 3.61%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.07%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 43.6%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 13.07%
2-2 @ 3.32%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 29.95%
0-1 @ 11.13%
1-2 @ 5.61%
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 1.59%
0-3 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 26.44%

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