Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
