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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Feb 1, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
RA

Porto
2 - 0
Rio Ave

Diaz (44'), Evanilson (74')
Uribe (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jeronimo (38'), Pinto (72')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 14.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawRio Ave
64.13%21.52%14.35%
Both teams to score 45.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.27%50.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.37%72.63%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.84%15.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.24%43.75%
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.13%46.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.61%82.39%
Score Analysis
    Porto 64.12%
    Rio Ave 14.35%
    Draw 21.52%
PortoDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 13.4%
2-0 @ 12.64%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 6.03%
4-0 @ 3.75%
4-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.28%
5-0 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.08%
5-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 64.12%
1-1 @ 10.15%
0-0 @ 7.1%
2-2 @ 3.63%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 21.52%
0-1 @ 5.38%
1-2 @ 3.85%
0-2 @ 2.04%
1-3 @ 0.97%
2-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 14.35%

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