SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 47.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Benfica B had a probability of 25.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Benfica B win it was 1-0 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica B | Draw | Santa Clara |
25.78% ( 0.28) | 27.19% ( -0.67) | 47.03% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 46.21% ( 1.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.63% ( 2.43) | 58.37% ( -2.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.02% ( 1.87) | 78.98% ( -1.87) |
| Benfica B Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% ( 1.61) | 38.5% ( -1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.75% ( 1.51) | 75.25% ( -1.5) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( 1.3) | 24.85% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.55% ( 1.77) | 59.45% ( -1.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica B | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.15)Other @ 1.56% Total : 25.78% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.91)2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.29)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 13.32% ( -0.74) 0-2 @ 9.27% ( -0.16)1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.2)0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.03% |
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