Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 47.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Benfica B had a probability of 25.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Benfica B win it was 1-0 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
0.28) 
-0.67) 
