Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
0.1) 
-0.16) 
