Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 62.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
-0.22) 
0.11) 
