SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 2-1 (7.56%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Belenenses |
| 38.79% | 29.78% | 31.43% |
| Both teams to score 42.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.26% | 64.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.29% | 83.7% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.57% | 32.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.05% | 68.95% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% | 37.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.77% | 74.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Belenenses |
| 1-0 @ 13.67% 2-0 @ 7.7% 2-1 @ 7.56% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.73% Total : 38.79% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 12.14% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.78% | 0-1 @ 11.92% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.75% Total : 31.42% |
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