Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 11.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.37%) and 0-3 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
