SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 25.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Famalicao |
| 25.64% | 27.5% | 46.85% |
| Both teams to score 45.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.46% | 59.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.12% | 79.88% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.73% | 39.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.02% | 75.98% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% | 25.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.7% | 60.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% 2-1 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 4.37% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.46% Total : 25.64% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 10% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 13.67% 0-2 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-3 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 3.99% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.46% 1-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.85% |
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