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Old Firm derby: 9 hrs 6 mins
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FL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Jan 8, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
P

Famalicao
1 - 4
Porto

Robert (20' pen.)
Queiros (15'), Vana (31'), Assuncao (41'), Riccieli (55'), Morer (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Taremi (13', 58'), Oliveira (32' pen.), Lopes (89')
Mbemba (12')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 15.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.54%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
FamalicaoDrawPorto
15.58%21.09%63.34%
Both teams to score 49.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.36%46.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09%68.91%
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.35%42.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.01%79%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.93%14.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.33%41.67%
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 15.58%
    Porto 63.33%
    Draw 21.09%
FamalicaoDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.12%
2-1 @ 4.27%
2-0 @ 2.18%
3-1 @ 1.21%
3-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 15.58%
1-1 @ 10.03%
0-0 @ 6%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 21.09%
0-1 @ 11.77%
0-2 @ 11.54%
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-3 @ 7.54%
1-3 @ 6.43%
0-4 @ 3.7%
1-4 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.74%
0-5 @ 1.45%
2-4 @ 1.34%
1-5 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 63.33%

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