Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.12%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Famalicao win it was 2-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
