Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rio Ave in this match.