Rio Ave
2 - 2
AC Milan

AC Milan win 9-8 on penalties

Geraldes (72'), Gelson (91')
Borevkovic (15'), Moreira (41'), Aderlan (47'), Augusto (65'), Tarantini (68')
Borevkovic (120+1')

FT
(aet)

Saelemaekers (51'), Calhanoglu (120+2' pen.)
Hernandez (61'), Leao (98'), Kjaer (113')

Coverage of the Europa League Playoffs clash between Rio Ave and AC Milan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.28%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 28.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-2 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (11.49%).

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	AC Milan
28.88%	29.84%	41.28%

Both teams to score 41.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.47%

65.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.74%

84.26%

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.1%

39.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.44%

76.55%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.65%

31.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.29%

67.71%

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 28.88%

AC Milan 41.27%

Draw 29.83%

Rio Ave	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 6.13% 2-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.4% Total : 28.88%	1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 12.5% 2-2 @ 3.55% Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.83%	0-1 @ 14.5% 0-2 @ 8.42% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-3 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.06% Total : 41.27%