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FL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 16, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estádio de São Luís
SL

Farense
0 - 1
Sporting Lisbon


Gauld (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Goncalves (35')
Reis (40'), Adan (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.28%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawSporting Lisbon
16.08%23.02%60.9%
Both teams to score 44.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54%53.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.01%74.99%
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.92%46.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.21%81.78%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81%17.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.55%47.45%
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 16.08%
    Sporting Lisbon 60.89%
    Draw 23.01%
SC FarenseDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 6.14%
2-1 @ 4.19%
2-0 @ 2.38%
3-1 @ 1.08%
3-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 16.08%
1-1 @ 10.8%
0-0 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 3.69%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 23.01%
0-1 @ 13.94%
0-2 @ 12.28%
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-3 @ 7.21%
1-3 @ 5.59%
0-4 @ 3.18%
1-4 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-5 @ 1.12%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 60.89%

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