Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 21.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
