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SL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
May 1, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
 
N

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Nacional

Feddal (83'), Cabral (90+2' pen.)
Paulinho (31'), Braganca (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ibrahim Alhassan (22'), Bessa (57'), Cesar (65'), Correia (90+1')
Ibrahim Alhassan (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 10.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.39%) and 3-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawNacional
70.12%19.4%10.47%
Both teams to score 40.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.1%50.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.22%72.78%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64%13.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.75%40.25%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.46%53.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.01%86.99%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 70.11%
    Nacional 10.47%
    Draw 19.4%
Sporting LisbonDrawNacional
2-0 @ 14.49%
1-0 @ 14.39%
3-0 @ 9.72%
2-1 @ 9.05%
3-1 @ 6.08%
4-0 @ 4.89%
4-1 @ 3.06%
5-0 @ 1.97%
3-2 @ 1.9%
5-1 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 70.11%
1-1 @ 9%
0-0 @ 7.15%
2-2 @ 2.83%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 19.4%
0-1 @ 4.47%
1-2 @ 2.81%
0-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 10.47%

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