SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.09%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 8.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.09%) and 3-0 (10.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Boavista |
| 75.09% | 16.33% | 8.58% |
| Both teams to score 42.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.55% | 43.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.15% | 65.85% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.09% | 9.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.17% | 32.83% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.21% | 52.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.48% | 86.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Boavista |
| 2-0 @ 13.98% 1-0 @ 12.09% 3-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 8.93% 3-1 @ 6.88% 4-0 @ 6.22% 4-1 @ 3.98% 5-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.2% 5-1 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.27% 6-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.94% Total : 75.08% | 1-1 @ 7.73% 0-0 @ 5.23% 2-2 @ 2.85% Other @ 0.51% Total : 16.33% | 0-1 @ 3.34% 1-2 @ 2.47% 0-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.7% Total : 8.58% |
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