Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 36.23%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
