SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gil Vicente.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Portimonense |
| 41.22% | 26.68% | 32.1% |
| Both teams to score 51.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.33% | 53.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.84% | 75.16% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% | 25.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.43% | 60.56% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% | 31.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.56% | 67.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 7.39% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.21% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 5.03% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.1% |
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