We said: Pacos de Ferreira 2-0 Portimonense
Both sides have seen their form dip since the start of the year and will be looking to find their feet. The hosts head into the game unbeaten in their last five games against the visitors, claiming two wins and three draws in that time. While we expect a thrilling contest, we are tipping the hosts to come away with all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
