Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (11.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match.
