Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 48.11%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
