Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.