SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dinamo Zagreb in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
47.25% ( -0.3) | 25.76% ( 0.11) | 26.98% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.66% ( -0.32) | 52.33% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.97% ( -0.28) | 74.02% ( 0.27) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( -0.27) | 22.14% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.47% ( -0.4) | 55.53% ( 0.4) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.79% ( -0.03) | 34.2% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.09% ( -0.03) | 70.9% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.24% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.98% |
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