SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 75.13%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 9.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.13%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 1-2 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | NK Varazdin |
75.13% ( 0.52) | 15.24% ( -0.26) | 9.63% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 51.3% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.5% ( 0.47) | 34.49% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.58% ( 0.53) | 56.42% ( -0.54) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.28% ( 0.22) | 7.72% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.51% ( 0.56) | 27.49% ( -0.57) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.59% ( -0.18) | 44.4% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.54% ( -0.14) | 80.45% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | NK Varazdin |
| 2-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.06)6-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 75.13% | 1-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.98% Total : 15.24% | 1-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.82% Total : 9.63% |
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