SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 68.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Rudes had a probability of 12.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Rudes win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Rudes |
68.97% ( 0.2) | 18.43% ( -0.12) | 12.6% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.18% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.67% ( 0.38) | 41.33% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.28% ( 0.38) | 63.72% ( -0.38) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.1% ( 0.16) | 10.9% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.95% ( 0.35) | 35.05% ( -0.35) |
| Rudes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.31% ( 0.13) | 43.69% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.13% ( 0.1) | 79.87% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Rudes |
| 2-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 4% Total : 68.96% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 18.43% | 0-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.3% Total : 12.6% |
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