SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gorica | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
19.94% ( -0) | 23.68% ( -0.02) | 56.37% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.55% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.43% ( 0.06) | 50.56% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% ( 0.05) | 72.48% ( -0.06) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% ( 0.03) | 39.74% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.58% ( 0.03) | 76.41% ( -0.04) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.24% ( 0.02) | 17.75% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.55% ( 0.05) | 48.44% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gorica | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
| 1-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( 0)2-0 @ 3% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.6% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.33% Total : 19.94% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.67% | 0-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.07% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.63% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.37% |
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