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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 21
Feb 4, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka

Rijeka
3 - 0
Istra 1961

Hodza (10'), Jankovic (34' pen.), Maric (74')
Bogojevic (17'), Selahi (40')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Erceg (23'), Majkic (23')
Mauric (45')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between HNK Rijeka and NK Istra 1961.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-2 Rijeka
Sunday, January 28 at 4.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, January 27 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 58.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.

Result
HNK RijekaDrawNK Istra 1961
58.16% (-0.973 -0.97) 22.15% (0.412 0.41) 19.69% (0.562 0.56)
Both teams to score 53.97% (-0.392 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.51% (-0.992 -0.99)44.48% (0.994 0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.14% (-0.968 -0.97)66.85% (0.97 0.97)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85% (-0.64 -0.64)15% (0.642 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.54% (-1.231 -1.23)43.45% (1.233 1.23)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.49% (0.020000000000003 0.02)36.51% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)73.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    HNK Rijeka 58.15%
    NK Istra 1961 19.69%
    Draw 22.14%
HNK RijekaDrawNK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.85% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-0 @ 2.96% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.082 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 58.15%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.14%
0-1 @ 5.52% (0.237 0.24)
1-2 @ 5.28% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.12 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 19.69%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-2 Rijeka
Sunday, January 28 at 4.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-3 Rijeka
Wednesday, January 24 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 3-0 Rudes
Saturday, December 16 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 2-4 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, December 10 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 0-0 Rijeka
Saturday, December 2 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 0-2 Rijeka
Saturday, November 25 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, January 27 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 3-0 Istra 1961
Saturday, December 16 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-0 Istra 1961
Saturday, December 9 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-0 Varazdin
Friday, December 1 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-2 Hajduk Split
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 0-4 Istra 1961
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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