SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 15.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.78%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
15.23% ( -3.47) | 21.11% ( -1.82) | 63.66% ( 5.3) |
| Both teams to score 48.42% ( -1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.63% ( 1.82) | 47.37% ( -1.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.41% ( 1.66) | 69.59% ( -1.66) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.44% ( -3.25) | 43.56% ( 3.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.24% ( -2.82) | 79.76% ( 2.83) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.79% ( 2.34) | 14.21% ( -2.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.06% ( 4.39) | 41.94% ( -4.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 1-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.92) 2-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.78)2-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.62)3-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.22)Other @ 1.5% Total : 15.23% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.87) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.48)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.39)Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.1% | 0-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 11.78% ( 0.99)1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.66% ( 1.19)1-3 @ 6.37% ( 0.49)0-4 @ 3.74% ( 0.83)1-4 @ 3.11% ( 0.46)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.46% ( 0.41)2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.26)Other @ 2.52% Total : 63.65% |
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