Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 83.45%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 5.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.41%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.43%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
0.11) 
-0.17) 
