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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 17
Dec 1, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stadion Aldo Drosina

Istra 1961
2 - 0
Varazdin

Matheus (45+4'), Vuk (66')
Matheus (19')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Marina (15'), Postonjski (38'), Banovec (42')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Istra 1961 and NK Varazdin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istra 1961 0-2 Hajduk Split
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 0-2 Rijeka
Saturday, November 25 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
NK Istra 1961DrawNK Varazdin
36.35% (-0.157 -0.16) 25.93% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 37.72% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Both teams to score 54.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15% (0.014000000000003 0.01)49.85% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15% (0.012 0.01)71.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)26.57% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21% (-0.111 -0.11)61.79% (0.111 0.11)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (0.093999999999994 0.09)25.8% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.25% (0.128 0.13)60.75% (-0.127 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    NK Istra 1961 36.35%
    NK Varazdin 37.72%
    Draw 25.92%
NK Istra 1961DrawNK Varazdin
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.02% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 36.35%
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.29% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.77% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 37.72%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-2 Hajduk Split
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 0-4 Istra 1961
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, November 5 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 3-1 Istra 1961
Saturday, October 28 at 5.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 1-1 Rijeka
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, October 8 at 4.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 0-2 Rijeka
Saturday, November 25 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 3-1 Varazdin
Sunday, November 12 at 3.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 0-0 Varazdin
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 0-0 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 3-2 Varazdin
Friday, October 6 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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