SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Osijek |
30.83% ( 0.91) | 25.61% ( -0.03) | 43.56% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 54.09% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( 0.52) | 49.72% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( 0.47) | 71.73% ( -0.46) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.01% ( 0.9) | 29.99% ( -0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.89% ( 1.07) | 66.11% ( -1.06) |
| Osijek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( -0.19) | 22.74% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.58% ( -0.28) | 56.42% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Osijek |
| 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.24% Total : 30.83% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 43.56% |
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