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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 24
Feb 25, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica

Gorica
1 - 0
Slaven Koprivnica

Matavz (59')
Jelicic (46'), Munksgaard (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Agbekpornu (45+1'), Lepinjica (67')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and Slaven Koprivnica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osijek 3-0 Gorica
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 1-1 Istra 1961
Friday, February 16 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorica win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Slaven Koprivnica had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Slaven Koprivnica win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gorica in this match.

Result
GoricaDrawSlaven Koprivnica
40.69% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 26.24% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 33.06% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.88% (-0.129 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.34% (-0.172 -0.17)51.65% (0.167 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56% (-0.15 -0.15)73.44% (0.14500000000001 0.15)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (-0.127 -0.13)25.03% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.3% (-0.172 -0.17)59.69% (0.167 0.17)
Slaven Koprivnica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)29.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)65.46% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Gorica 40.69%
    Slaven Koprivnica 33.06%
    Draw 26.24%
GoricaDrawSlaven Koprivnica
1-0 @ 10.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 40.69%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 9.01% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.06%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Osijek 3-0 Gorica
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-2 Rijeka
Sunday, February 11 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 Gorica
Sunday, February 4 at 4.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-2 NK Lokomotiva
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-3 Rijeka
Wednesday, January 24 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-3 Varazdin
Friday, December 15 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 1-1 Istra 1961
Friday, February 16 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 4-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 4-0 Rudes
Saturday, February 3 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-2 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, January 26 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 4-1 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, December 17 at 1.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 2-4 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, December 10 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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