SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osijek | Draw | Gorica |
59.48% ( -0.98) | 23.9% ( 0.35) | 16.62% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 43.32% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.15% ( -0.33) | 55.85% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.03% ( -0.27) | 76.97% ( 0.27) |
| Osijek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.43% ( -0.48) | 18.57% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.17% ( -0.82) | 49.83% ( 0.81) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.2% ( 0.64) | 46.8% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.67% ( 0.48) | 82.33% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Osijek | Draw | Gorica |
| 1-0 @ 14.63% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.23)2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.93% Total : 59.47% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.55% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.23% Total : 16.62% |
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