SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Slaven Koprivnica had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Slaven Koprivnica win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osijek | Draw | Slaven Koprivnica |
55.54% ( 0.31) | 23.18% ( 0.03) | 21.27% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 53.06% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.1% ( -0.57) | 46.9% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.85% ( -0.54) | 69.15% ( 0.53) |
| Osijek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.27% ( -0.09) | 16.73% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.36% ( -0.17) | 46.64% ( 0.17) |
| Slaven Koprivnica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.71% ( -0.66) | 36.28% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.93% ( -0.67) | 73.07% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Osijek | Draw | Slaven Koprivnica |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 55.54% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.18% | 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.8% Total : 21.27% |
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