SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osijek | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
39.36% ( -0.24) | 26.93% ( 0.19) | 33.7% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.85% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.68% ( -0.77) | 54.32% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.29% ( -0.64) | 75.71% ( 0.64) |
| Osijek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( -0.49) | 26.96% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.69% ( -0.65) | 62.31% ( 0.65) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% ( -0.35) | 30.37% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.44% ( -0.42) | 66.56% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Osijek | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.09% Total : 39.36% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.28% Total : 33.7% |
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