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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 21
Feb 3, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Gradski vrt

Osijek
1 - 1
Hajduk Split

Mierez (72')
Omerovic (57'), Bralic (69'), Matkovic (75'), Pusic (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uremovic (57')
Mikanovic (28'), Uremovic (79')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Osijek and Hajduk Split.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osijek 2-0 Rudes
Saturday, January 27 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-2 Rijeka
Sunday, January 28 at 4.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Osijek win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
OsijekDrawHajduk Split
32.46% (-2.033 -2.03) 27.57% (0.192 0.19) 39.97% (1.841 1.84)
Both teams to score 48.62% (-0.989 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.99% (-1.054 -1.05)57.01% (1.053 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.1% (-0.849 -0.85)77.9% (0.848 0.85)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (-1.897 -1.9)32.57% (1.896 1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (-2.182 -2.18)69.1% (2.181 2.18)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (0.54900000000001 0.55)27.9% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (0.695 0.7)63.51% (-0.69599999999999 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Osijek 32.46%
    Hajduk Split 39.96%
    Draw 27.57%
OsijekDrawHajduk Split
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.361 -0.36)
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.376 -0.38)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.288 -0.29)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.155 -0.16)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.46%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.09% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 11.59% (0.63 0.63)
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 7.4% (0.509 0.51)
1-3 @ 3.54% (0.12 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.261 0.26)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.055 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 39.96%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Osijek 2-0 Rudes
Saturday, January 27 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 4-1 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, December 17 at 1.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-2 Osijek
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 0-0 Rijeka
Saturday, December 2 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 Osijek
Saturday, November 25 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 1-1 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, November 11 at 5.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-2 Rijeka
Sunday, January 28 at 4.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 Hajduk Split
Sunday, December 17 at 4.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-1 Hajduk Split
Friday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 3-0 Gorica
Saturday, December 2 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-2 Hajduk Split
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 3-1 Varazdin
Sunday, November 12 at 3.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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