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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 35
May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadion Poljud

Hajduk Split
2 - 1
Gorica

Trajkovski (30'), Stiglec (64')
Trajkovski (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rukavina (23')
Maloca (87')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Hajduk Split and Gorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istra 1961 1-1 Hajduk Split
Sunday, May 12 at 6.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-1 Rudes
Friday, May 10 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 75.45%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 8.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 3-0 (10.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.

Result
Hajduk SplitDrawGorica
75.45% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08) 16.01% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 8.54% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 43.43% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.87% (0.079999999999998 0.08)42.13% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.47% (0.082000000000001 0.08)64.53% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.51%9.49% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.98% (0.18 0.18)52.01% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.98% (0.118 0.12)86.01% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Hajduk Split 75.44%
    Gorica 8.54%
    Draw 16.01%
Hajduk SplitDrawGorica
2-0 @ 13.68% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 11.62% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 10.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.02% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.14% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 75.44%
1-1 @ 7.6% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.92% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 16.01%
0-1 @ 3.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 2.48% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.05% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 8.54%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Istra 1961 1-1 Hajduk Split
Sunday, May 12 at 6.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-1 Varazdin
Sunday, May 5 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 5-1 Rudes
Saturday, April 27 at 6.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 0-1 Hajduk Split
Saturday, April 20 at 6.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-2 Osijek
Sunday, April 14 at 3.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 1-0 Hajduk Split
Sunday, April 7 at 6.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-1 Rudes
Friday, May 10 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 4-1 Gorica
Saturday, May 4 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-3 Osijek
Sunday, April 28 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 3-0 Gorica
Sunday, April 21 at 6.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, April 13 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-1 Gorica
Saturday, April 6 at 3.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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