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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 31
Apr 21, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka

Rijeka
3 - 0
Gorica

Pjaca (68'), Maric (80'), Goda (89')
Fruk (34'), Petrovic (78'), Smolcic (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Prsir (28'), Mitrovic (61'), Kapulica (79')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between HNK Rijeka and Gorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istra 1961 0-2 Rijeka
Sunday, April 14 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, April 13 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 74.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 8.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14%) and 3-0 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.

Result
HNK RijekaDrawGorica
74.73% (-0.131 -0.13) 17.1% (0.131 0.13) 8.16% (-0.0018999999999991 -0)
Both teams to score 38.25% (-0.381 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.77% (-0.538 -0.54)48.23% (0.534 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (-0.494 -0.49)70.38% (0.491 0.49)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.72% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)11.28% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.11% (-0.399 -0.4)35.89% (0.396 0.4)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.11% (-0.341 -0.34)56.89% (0.338 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.02% (-0.196 -0.2)88.98% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    HNK Rijeka 74.72%
    Gorica 8.16%
    Draw 17.1%
HNK RijekaDrawGorica
2-0 @ 15.27% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 14% (0.21 0.21)
3-0 @ 11.11%
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
4-0 @ 6.06% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.65% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.96% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 74.72%
1-1 @ 7.9% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.42% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 2.43% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 17.1%
0-1 @ 3.62% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 2.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 8.16%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-2 Rijeka
Sunday, April 14 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 1-0 Hajduk Split
Sunday, April 7 at 6.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 0-3 Rijeka
Saturday, March 30 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 0-1 Rijeka
Saturday, March 16 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 3-0 Osijek
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 2-0 Varazdin
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, April 13 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-1 Gorica
Saturday, April 6 at 3.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-4 Gorica
Saturday, March 30 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 Gorica
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-3 Hajduk Split
Saturday, March 9 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 2-1 Gorica
Monday, March 4 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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